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The Science of Conjecture: Evidence and Probability before Pascal

Professor James Franklin




[PDF.zl14] The Science of Conjecture: Evidence and Probability before Pascal

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 | #1199611 in Books |  2001-06-22 | Original language:English | PDF # 1 |  1.32 x6.38 x9.70l, | File type: PDF | 512 pages

||77 of 79 people found the following review helpful.| Indispensable|By N N Taleb|As a practitioner of probability, I've read many book on the subject. Most are linear combinations of other books and ideas rehashed without real understanding that the idea of probability harks back the Greek pisteuo (credibility) [and pithanon that led to probabile in latin] and pervaded classical thought. Almost all of these writers made the mist| ||"Remarkable... Mr. Franklin writes clearly and exhibits a wry wit. But he also ranges knowledgeably across many disciplines and over many centuries... Perhaps the best reason to read this book... is its contemporary relevance... The lessons he discusses have

Before Pascal and Fermat's discovery of the mathematics of probability in 1654, how did we make reliable predictions? What methods in law, science, commerce, philosophy, and logic helped us to get at the truth in cases where certainty was not attainable? In The Science of Conjecture, James Franklin examines how judges, witch inquisitors, and juries evaluated evidence; scientists weighed reasons for and against scientific theories; and merchants counted shipwrecks to d...

You easily download any file type for your device.The Science of Conjecture: Evidence and Probability before Pascal   |  Professor James Franklin.Not only was the story interesting, engaging and relatable, it also teaches lessons.

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